Also sprach Analyst

Investment Analysis, China Economy, Global Economy, Real Estate and Financials

Cross asset

Cross asset analysis, asset allocation, and other interesting stuff.

A Time to Think & 5 Key Issues
Cross asset, Markets. 12 November, 2012, 22:29 A Time to Think & 5 Key Issues
5 issues to be considered.
On technical analysis, algos, and others
Cross asset, Markets. 11 November, 2012, 23:02 On technical analysis, algos, and others
They work, perhaps until they don’t.
When looking for tail risks, try areas where no one is looking
Cross asset, Markets. 8 November, 2012, 12:53 When looking for tail risks, try areas where no one is looking
When fiscal cliff become widely regarded as a key tail risk, it is no longer really a tail risk. It’s out in the open.
What QE-infinity has done so far
Cross asset, Markets. 6 November, 2012, 21:39 What QE-infinity has done so far
Not quite as you would have expected.
What gold price is possibly telling us about Chinese Yuan
Cross asset, Markets. 6 November, 2012, 2:40 What gold price is possibly telling us about Chinese Yuan
Is the strength of Chinese yuan going to be over soon?
Europe, Moore’s Law and Murphy’s Law and Milken
Cross asset, Markets. 22 October, 2012, 0:32 Europe, Moore’s Law and Murphy’s Law and Milken
Europe is still not fixed, and some thoughts on tech.
Macro hedge funds are terrible at market timing
Cross asset, Markets. 11 October, 2012, 10:13 Macro hedge funds are terrible at market timing
As it turns out, macro funds are terrible at market timing.
MythBusters: BLS, Treasuries, Apple and High Yield
Cross asset, Markets. 10 October, 2012, 23:53 MythBusters: BLS, Treasuries, Apple and High Yield
Debunking a few myths in the market.
Spanish bailout may not be effective, QE may not work
Cross asset, Markets. 9 October, 2012, 21:30 Spanish bailout may not be effective, QE may not work
Situation in Spain may not improve anytime soon; QE will probably not help the real economy
The fourth quarter: what to expect?
Cross asset, Markets. 1 October, 2012, 21:46 The fourth quarter: what to expect?
A brief preview of what to expect in the new quarter.
Fight the Fed
Cross asset, Markets. 24 September, 2012, 22:13 Fight the Fed
The Fed started easing since five years ago, and stocks are no higher than it was.
Chinese equities weakened, but steel and iron ore continued to rise
Cross asset, Markets. 19 September, 2012, 1:47 Chinese equities weakened, but steel and iron ore continued to rise
Chinese stocks have weakened again, but the rebound in steel and iron ore has not stopped.
Diminishing market reactions to unconventional monetary policy
Cross asset, Markets. 17 September, 2012, 21:20 Diminishing market reactions to unconventional monetary policy
Yields now hardly move on policy announcements, especially if the element of surprise has gone.
What will happen to the markets after QE3?
Cross asset, Markets. 17 September, 2012, 2:10 What will happen to the markets after QE3?
Some thoughts and gut feeling about what will happen to various asset classes as QE3 gets underway.
Hedge funds were punished for being defensive
Cross asset, Markets. 13 September, 2012, 11:52 Hedge funds were punished for being defensive
Being defensive has not been a winning strategy this year for hedge funds.
Venturing into the unknown
Cross asset, Markets. 7 September, 2012, 4:10 Venturing into the unknown
What we are seeing in financial and economic indicators are, in some cases, unprecedented even if we look back centuries.
HOPECAST: a hope disguised as a forecast
Cross asset, Markets. 24 August, 2012, 2:05 HOPECAST: a hope disguised as a forecast
When a “forecast” is simply a “hope”, that is a “hopecast”.
US presidential election, according to Intrade
Cross asset, Markets. 13 August, 2012, 1:13 US presidential election, according to Intrade
Here are a few charts showing the 2012 US presidential election so far, according to Intrade prediction markets.
Chart: the best and the worst asset classes of the last 5 years
Cross asset, Markets. 9 August, 2012, 17:24 Chart: the best and the worst asset classes of the last 5 years
Corn, gold and silver were the best performing assets over the last 5 years, while European peripheral stocks were the worst.
Cross asset, Markets. 12 November, 2011, 2:10 “Path Uncertain, Destination Ugly”
Amid all the macro risks, while the destination will most probably look very ugly, the path to get there is now highly uncertain.
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