China’s rail cargo volume stabilised in September30 October, 2012, 17:53. Posted by Zarathustra
One of the preferred gauges of economic activities by our dear vice premier Li Keqiang is showing signs of stabilisation of economic activities in the near-term.
Rail cargo volume in China amounted to 307 million tonnes in September, increase slightly from 304 million tonnes. On a year-on-year basis, rail cargo volume fell 5.4% compared with September last year, recovering from 9.2% yoy drop in August.
The first chart below shows the year-on-year change in freight volume along side with GDP growth (yoy), while the second chart shows the the actual level of freight volume. Although year-on-year change has recovered, the actual level has only just stabilised. The red arrows in the second chart show that the magnitude of decline if rail cargo volume is more of less the same as during the 2008/09 financial crisis (with the exception for the month of Chinese New Year).
Source: National Bureau of Statistics