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China CPI inflation rose to 2.0% yoy in November

9 December, 2012, 22:49. Posted by

China’s CPI inflation increased slightly in November.

Headline CPI inflation rose to 2.0% yoy from 1.7% yoy in October, slightly lower than consensus estimate of 2.1% yoy. On a month-on-month basis, CPI increased by 0.1% compared to the previous month, up from -0.1% in October.

Looking into different components, inflationary pressure remains minimal for non-food items, which rose 1.6% yoy, or flat on a month-on-month basis, while food prices rose 3.0% yoy, or 0.1% on a month-on-month basis.

Meanwhile, producer price index (PPI) fell 2.2% yoy in November, lower than consensus estimate of -2.0% yoy. On a month-on-month basis, PPI fell 0.1%, down from +0.2% rise in October.

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Source: NBS

These are consistent with our view that there should be very little inflationary pressure in non-food items after years of over-investment in productive capacity, while food prices inflation remain relatively stable for the moment.


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